The Central Bank of South Korea has said that issuing a central bank digital currency could affect financial stability.
The Bank of Korea has issued a study that investigates the effects of the introduction of a CBDC on financial stability.
The study uses a monetary general equilibrium model in which banks provide liquidity in the form of fiat currency, and commercial bank deposits compete with the central bank deposits in CBDC account.
It found that if people had access to a CBDC, which would be via direct deposit at the central bank, this would eventually decrease the supply of private credit by commercial banks.
"The introduction of deposits in CBDC account essentially decreases supply of private credit by commercial banks, which raises the nominal interest rate and hence lowers a commercial bank's reserve-deposit ratio," the study said.
It added:
"This has negative effects on financial stability by increasing the likelihood of bank panic in which commercial banks are short of cash reserves to pay out to depositors."
However, once the central bank can lend all the deposits in CBDC account to commercial banks, an increase in the quantity of CBDC that does not require reserve holdings can enhance financial stability by essentially increasing supply of private credit and hence lowering nominal interest rate.
"Once the central bank is allowed to lend all the deposits in CBDC account to commercial banks, the introduction of CBDC can improve financial stability by reducing the likelihood of bank panic," the study added.
The study explains that an increase in the quantity of CBDC implies a greater increase in the supply of private credit compared to the traditional case where all the deposits are made in commercial banks.
Unlike commercial bank deposits, the deposits in CBDC account do not require reserve holdings, which allows more resources available for supply of private loans.
Therefore, reserve-deposit ratio falls and nominal interest rate falls as well in equilibrium.
The probability of bank panic also decreases owing to the direct effect of an increase in CBDC despite a decrease in reserve-deposit ratio which has the effect of increasing the probability of bank panic.
In November last year, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde called for central banks to consider the possibility of issuing CBDCs, arguing that "money itself is changing" and that the demand for cash is decreasing.